{"insider":{"risk":{"short":"We do not guarantee a profit. Any tip can lose, losing runs happen, and past results do not decide future ones. You bet at your own risk, 18+ only.","title":"No guaranteed profit","body":"Any tip can lose, losing runs happen, and past results do not decide future ones. The decision to bet and how much is yours. You bet at your own risk."},"notes":{"stats":"Past results, counted in units at the stakes given in the tips. They do not decide future results.","unit":"The amounts convert past results to the stake you pick. They are not a forecast or a promise of profit."},"purchase":{"title":"Before you buy","telegramTitle":"Telegram only, 7:00–22:00","telegramBody":"Tips arrive on Telegram only, every day from 7:00 to 22:00 (Polish time), whenever the odds meet our criteria. After buying, link your account to Telegram.","timingTitle":"Speed matters","timingBody":"Bookmakers quickly correct inflated odds, so the odds in the message are sometimes available only briefly. If within 30 s of sending the odds drop clearly or the pick leaves the offer, the tip is cancelled (VOID). A tip that stays available longer counts in the history, even if you don't place it.","faqLink":"Rules and frequently asked questions","telegramShort":"Tips on Telegram only, every day from 7:00 to 22:00.","timingShort":"The odds in the message are sometimes available only briefly: if they drop clearly within 30 s, the tip is cancelled (VOID).","record":"Every tip is settled publicly, losses included: {tips, plural, one {# tip} other {# tips}} since {since}.","recordLink":"The whole history, tip by tip"},"tools":{"title":"Built on our tools","subtitle":"Insider tips are picked by the same system as MoneyFlow, and the simulator shows how to size your stake to your budget.","moneyflow":"Spots inflated bookmaker odds in real time. Insider takes the strongest of these signals.","bankroll":"Shows how the size of your unit and losing runs affect your budget."},"rules":{"title":"Key information","items":{"hours":"Tips arrive every day from 7:00 to 22:00 (Polish time), but only when the odds meet our criteria, so some days have none.","telegram":"Tips are sent on Telegram only. After buying, link your account to Telegram and turn notifications on. Seconds count.","stake":"The stake is given in units, from 1U to 5U: the bigger the odds deviation, the higher the stake. Results are counted at exactly these stakes.","unit":"A unit is a notional amount. The example strategy sets 1U at 0.5–1% of the budget set aside for betting, so even a 5U tip is at most 5% of the budget.","void":"If within 30 s of sending the odds drop clearly or the pick leaves the offer, the tip is void and does not count in the statistics. A tip available for longer counts.","chase":"Raising the stake after losses, e.g. doubling it, mathematically drains the budget faster: five losses in a row while doubling cost 31U, against 5U at a flat stake.","sample":"Results only mean something over a large sample: at least 100–200 tips. Short periods depend largely on luck.","money":"Betting carries a risk of losing money and is for adults only. We do not guarantee a profit. It is entertainment, not a way to make money."}},"faq":{"title":"Rules and frequently asked questions","subtitle":"How Insider works, how we count the results and what to expect.","links":{"moneyflow":"See MoneyFlow","telegram":"Link Telegram"},"items":{"what":{"q":"What is Insider?","a":"Single pre-match tips sent to Telegram. Each one has the match, the pick, the odds, the stake in units (from 1U to 5U), the kick-off time and a link to the match at the bookmaker with the best odds, with other bookmakers offering the same line below it. We only send a tip when the odds meet our criteria, so some days have none and some have several.","aAnonymous":"Single pre-match tips sent to Telegram. Each one has the match, the pick, the stake in units (from 1U to 5U), the kick-off time and three odds: the highest any European bookmaker pays for the pick, the market's average odds and the minimum odds below which you skip it. Where you are, we do not name bookmakers or link to them. We only send a tip when the odds meet our criteria, so some days have none and some have several."},"how":{"q":"How do we pick the tips?","a":"We compare licensed bookmakers' odds with the market's prices, that is with what the event should pay. We only send a tip when a bookmaker has clearly inflated its odds, and right before sending we check that those odds are still on offer. This happens regularly, most often in less popular leagues, where the bookmaker does not keep up with correcting its odds."},"works":{"q":"Why does it work?","a":"A bookmaker sets odds for thousands of matches at once and is not up to date everywhere. When it briefly offers odds that are too high, we catch it and send the tip before it corrects them. A single tip can always lose, but over many tips what matters is that the odds were higher than they should have been, just as the margin works in the bookmaker's favour."},"tools":{"q":"What is it built on?","a":"On PredictStats' own tools. Insider tips are picked by the same system that runs MoneyFlow and spots inflated bookmaker odds in real time. Insider takes only the strongest of these signals, sets the stake and watches the odds after sending. If you want to look behind the scenes, you will find MoneyFlow in PredictStats."},"when":{"q":"When do tips arrive?","a":"Every day from 7:00 to 22:00 (Polish time). A tip can arrive at any moment in that window, but only when we find odds that meet the criteria, so some days have none and some have several, most often at weekends."},"telegram":{"q":"How do I get the tips?","a":"On Telegram only, in a message from our bot. After buying, link your PredictStats account to Telegram. Without it the tips cannot reach you. Turn notifications on for the bot, because whether you manage to place a tip is often a matter of a few dozen seconds."},"value":{"q":"What is the odds deviation?","a":"The difference between the bookmaker's odds and the odds that follow from the market's prices. If the market says an event should be priced at 2.00 and the bookmaker offers 2.20, its odds are 10% above the market. That is what we call the odds deviation. A deviation does not mean the tip will win: a single tip can always lose."},"stake":{"q":"Why stakes from 1U to 5U?","a":"The stake depends on the odds deviation: the bigger it is, the higher the stake (from 1U to 5U). We calculate the results in the statistics at exactly these stakes. What a unit is worth is entirely up to you. In the example strategy 1U is 0.5–1% of the budget set aside for betting, so even a 5U tip is at most 5% of the budget."},"streaks":{"q":"Why do losing runs happen?","a":"Because luck decides the outcome of a single bet. At odds around 2.00 roughly every other tip wins, so over 200 tips a run of five losses in a row almost always happens, and longer ones of 7–8 tips occur too. That is the normal course of things, not a sign that something has stopped working."},"chase":{"q":"What does doubling the stake after a loss do?","a":"Mathematically, it drains the budget faster. When doubling, the next bets cost 1, 2, 4, 8 and 16U, so five losses in a row cost 31U, while at a flat stake they cost 5U. Stick to the stakes in the tips, and treat the urge to win it back as a signal to take a break."},"drops":{"q":"Why can the odds drop or a tip disappear within moments?","a":"Because a tip rests on odds the bookmaker set too high, and bookmakers do not wait: once they notice, they cut the odds or take the bet off the offer, sometimes within a few dozen seconds of sending. So you need to act fast: turn Telegram notifications on, stay logged in at the bookmaker and place the bet as soon as the tip arrives. If the odds are already clearly lower than in the tip, let it go. We have no influence on how the bookmaker reacts, so fast odds drops and disappearing tips are not grounds for a refund of the access fee."},"void":{"q":"What happens when the odds drop after sending?","a":"We watch every tip's odds after sending. If within 30 seconds of sending the odds drop clearly or the pick leaves the offer at the bookmakers in the message, the tip is void and does not count in the statistics. You get a message about it. If that happens later, the tip counts, because it could be placed at the odds given; the bot says how long it was available. When the odds drop at one bookmaker only and another one on the list still has them, the bot tells you where the tip is still available.","aAnonymous":"We watch every tip's odds after sending, at every bookmaker we track. If within 30 seconds of sending none of them pays the minimum odds any more, the tip is void and does not count in the statistics. You get a message about it. If that happens later, the tip counts, because it could be placed at the minimum odds or better; the bot says how long it was available. As long as any bookmaker pays the minimum odds, the tip stands."},"bookmakers":{"q":"Which bookmaker should I bet with?","a":"The first, bold link in the message leads to the bookmaker with the best odds. Below it are other bookmakers with the same line: first those with the same odds, and separately those with lower odds, which we do not recommend. We only consider licensed bookmakers. You will see their list when buying. It is worth having an account with several of them, because the best odds are not always at the same one.","aAnonymous":"Where you are, we do not name bookmakers or link to them. The message gives the highest odds any European bookmaker pays for the pick, the market's average odds and the minimum odds. Check the pick at a licensed bookmaker in your country: if it pays at least the minimum odds, the tip stands; if less, skip it. It is worth having an account with several bookmakers, because the highest odds are not always at the same one."},"limits":{"q":"What if a bookmaker limits my account?","a":"Bookmakers may restrict players' accounts under their own rules: lower the maximum stake, refuse some bets or close the account, including when someone often bets at odds above the market. That is solely the bookmaker's decision: we have no influence on your account and are not responsible for such restrictions. A restricted or closed bookmaker account is not grounds for a refund of the Insider access fee. Keep that in mind before buying."},"results":{"q":"How do you count the results?","a":"We settle every tip after the match on the official result: won, lost or refunded (e.g. when the match does not take place), and on Asian lines also half won or half lost. Every tip that was available at the odds given counts in the statistics, at its stake; void tips do not. We never remove losses. Tips from before automatic sending were entered into the history by hand. They are labelled “{manual}”.","aAnonymous":"We settle every tip after the match on the official result: won, lost or refunded (e.g. when the match is not played), and on Asian lines also half won or half lost. Every tip that was available at the given odds goes into the statistics, with its stake (a tip sent without bookmaker names at the minimum odds, because anyone who placed it as the message said got at least that); cancelled (VOID) tips do not. We never remove losses. Tips from before automatic sending were entered into the history by hand. They carry the label “{manual}”."},"tax":{"q":"Do the results include tax?","a":"By default we show the results without the tax on the stake. Where the bookmaker takes it (in Poland 12% of every stake), the switch above the statistics recalculates the profit, the yield and the chart the way the bookmaker would settle them."},"judge":{"q":"When can I judge the results?","a":"After 100–200 tips at the earliest. After a dozen or a few dozen tips the result depends largely on luck, both ways. That is why the chart and the yield only make sense over a longer period."},"guarantee":{"q":"Do you guarantee a profit?","a":"No. We don't guarantee wins or profit. Past results (including those in the statistics on this page and in the history of our earlier groups) don't determine future ones, and any tip can lose. We pass on information about odds; the decision to bet and how much to stake is entirely yours."}}},"disclaimer":"This content is for information only and is not an inducement to gamble or financial advice. We do not guarantee wins or a profit, and past results do not decide future ones. Betting is for adults only, carries a risk of losing money and can be addictive. Keep it moderate and use licensed bookmakers only."}}