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Back to matches
ItalySerie A
Finished
Genoa

Genoa

R
R
P
W
W
1 - 2

(0 - 0)

12:00 · 05/17/2026

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

AC Milan

AC Milan

P
P
R
W
P
1 - 2

(0 - 0)

12:00 · 05/17/2026

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
Genoa
R
R
P
W
W
Profile
AC Milan
AC Milan
P
P
R
W
P
Profile

Info

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Match information
League
Serie A
Date
05/17/2026 12:00
Stadium
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Country
ItalyItaly
Genoa vs AC Milan: Odds vs Data — Where Bookmakers Are Wrong
Article

Genoa vs AC Milan: Odds vs Data — Where Bookmakers Are Wrong

As Genoa meets AC Milan, PredictStats reveals surprising gaps between bookmaker odds and data-driven insights. Are the markets underestimating the likelihood of certain outcomes?

Read full analysisPreview & predictions
Key statistics
2.25Avg goals/match
43%BTTS
38%Over 2.5
10H2H
Team form
Genoa40%
D
D
L
W
W
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
AC Milan20%
L
L
D
W
L
1 W · 1 D · 3 L
Attack vs Defense (last 10)
Genoa
Genoa
Scored24 (2.4/match)
Conceded24 (2.4/match)
AC Milan
AC Milan
Scored23 (2.3/match)
Conceded19 (1.9/match)
Home / Away performanceBased on 20 matches
Genoa
at home
AC Milan
away
Avg scored1.781.27
Avg conceded1.330.73
Clean sheets24
Failed to score23
H2H History
0

Genoa

4

Draws

6

AC Milan

Genoa 0%
Draws 40%
AC Milan 60%
Quick predictions
Over 1.570%
Over 2.538%
BTTS43%
Over 3.518%
Match history
GenoaGenoa
AC MilanAC Milan

Starting XI

Genoa
Genoa
4-3-2-1
16Bijlow
77Ellertsson
27Marcandalli
34Otoa
22Vasquez
32Frendrup
4Amorim
17Malinovskyi
8Baldanzi
9Vitinha
29Colombo
Coach:Daniele De Rossi

Substitutes

1. Leali,39. Sommariva,75. Lafont,21. Ekhator,40. Klisys,74. Doucoure,20. Sabelli+6
AC Milan
AC Milan
3-5-2
16Maignan
23Tomori
46Gabbia
31Pavlovic
24Athekame
19Fofana
30Jashari
12Rabiot
33Bartesaghi
7Gimenez
18Nkunku
Coach:Massimiliano Allegri

Substitutes

1. Terracciano,96. Torriani,14. Modric,8. Loftus-Cheek,4. Ricci,34. Vladimirov,9. Fullkrug+5

Positions

Goalkeeper
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards

Statistics

Avg goals/match2.25
BTTS43%
Over 2.538%
Over 1.570%
Corners & cards statistics

Form (last 5)

Genoa
2W 2D 1L
AC Milan
1W 1D 3L

Predictions

Over 1.5 goals

70%

BTTS

43%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Corners & cards predictions

Key moments

1 - 2

Half-time: 0 - 0

50'⚽C. Nkunku
81'⚽Z. Athekame
86'⚽J. Vasquez

H2H Balance

0

Genoa

4

Remisy

6

AC Milan

Based on 10 matches

Information

LeagueSerie A
CountryItaly
Date05/17/2026
Time12:00
StadiumStadio Luigi Ferraris