Does an overtime goal count as the first goal?

No. The bet covers the 60 minutes, so goals in overtime and in the shootout do not count. If no goal is scored in the 60 minutes, the market's third option wins: no goal.

How often does the home team score first?

In top-flight leagues since 2024, in 53% of games; the visitors in 46%, and in fewer than 1% of games there is no goal in the 60 minutes. For a given game the percentage depends on both teams' goals projection.

Does the team that scores first usually win?

Yes, in about 69% of games, 59% within the 60 minutes. The game analysis shows how often each team won after its own first goal and after the opponent's.

What does Premium unlock?

Without an account you see the day's first pick with the full analysis, and with a free account three picks a day, for today. Premium means all games on every day, the market's prices on both teams with the market's percentage next to ours, sorting by percentage or time, H2H and up to 30 games of history. All in one Premium together with football and basketball.

First goal

Hockey

Who scores first in regulation: the percentage from both teams' goal model next to the market's price.

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What the First Goal module shows

For every hockey game of the day: which team scores the first goal in the 60 minutes. The pick is the team with the higher percentage, and next to it are the fair price from that percentage and the market's price.

The list starts with the games that have a market price, from the highest percentage; the games without a price come after them. The game analysis shows both teams' percentages and the one for no goal, the market's prices with the fair price, the first goal in both teams' recent games, their head-to-head meetings and the league against all leagues.

Where the percentage comes from

The team that scores more goals scores first more often. That is why a team's percentage is its share of both teams' goals projection for the 60 minutes, with a small lift for the home side. A percentage worked out this way matched the results of almost 45,000 games from two seasons.

When there is a price, we combine this percentage with the market without its margin. The module calls nothing value: in our check, picks priced above the fair price gave no lasting edge. It is a statistic, not a certainty.

What the first goal says

In top-flight leagues since 2024, the home side scored first in 53% of games. The first goal came in the 1st period in 81% of games, and in the first 10 minutes in 55%. Fewer than 1 game in 100 ends the 60 minutes without a goal.

The team that scored first won about 69% of games, 59% within the 60 minutes. It differs between leagues: 66% in the NHL, 70% in the KHL and 76% in the Polish Hockey League.

Frequently asked questions

Does an overtime goal count as the first goal?: No. The bet covers the 60 minutes, so goals in overtime and in the shootout do not count. If no goal is scored in the 60 minutes, the market's third option wins: no goal.
How often does the home team score first?: In top-flight leagues since 2024, in 53% of games; the visitors in 46%, and in fewer than 1% of games there is no goal in the 60 minutes. For a given game the percentage depends on both teams' goals projection.
Does the team that scores first usually win?: Yes, in about 69% of games, 59% within the 60 minutes. The game analysis shows how often each team won after its own first goal and after the opponent's.
What does Premium unlock?: Without an account you see the day's first pick with the full analysis, and with a free account three picks a day, for today. Premium means all games on every day, the market's prices on both teams with the market's percentage next to ours, sorting by percentage or time, H2H and up to 30 games of history. All in one Premium together with football and basketball.