Players
HockeyWho scores in today's games: a percentage from the player's share of his team's goals and the goals forecast, beside the market's price.
What the Players module shows
Who scores in the day's hockey games: five players of each team with a percentage for a goal in the game and for a point in the game, that is a goal or an assist. Next to it are the fair price from that percentage and the market's price on the player's goal.
The list starts with the teams whose lineup comes from the bookmakers' list, the players from the highest percentage; the unconfirmed lineups come after them. The player analysis shows where the percentage comes from, his goals and points in recent games and in the season, the team's lineup by percentage and the team's games with his goals and assists.
Where the percentage comes from
From the player's share of the team's goals in its recent games, drawn towards a depth player when the sample is small, and from the team's goals projection for this game. When bookmakers publish a team's full list of scorers, the players on it share the team's goals; without one, the lineup is the players with a point in the last 5 games.
When there is a price, we combine the percentage with the market, because the bookmaker knows the lineups and the players' roles that match data does not show. Checked on more than 5,000 players from full lists, the combined percentage matched the results at least as well as the market alone. The module calls nothing value: the list goes by percentage.
What to watch for
The lineup is confirmed only before the game. Without the bookmakers' list, players are marked “Lineup not confirmed”, and about 1 in 10 of them does not play. If a player does not take the ice, bookmakers return the stake.
Goals in the 60 minutes and in overtime count, the shootout does not, as bookmakers settle this bet. A single player's goal is a rare event: the percentage seldom goes above 45%, even for the best scorers. It is a statistic, not a certainty.
Frequently asked questions
- What is an anytime goalscorer bet?
- A bet that the chosen player scores at least one goal in the game, at any time. The 60 minutes and overtime count, the shootout does not. A point bet also wins with an assist.
- How do you know who plays?
- When bookmakers publish a team's full list of scorers, we treat it as the game's lineup: in our data the scorers were on it in 97% of cases. Without a list, the lineup is the players with a goal or an assist in the team's last 5 games, and about 1 in 10 of them does not play.
- Why does a player's percentage differ from his record in recent games?
- A record is a handful of games, often with other linemates and opponents. The percentage takes into account the player's share of the team's goals, the team's goals projection for this game and the market's price, so it is steadier. The record is shown next to it as background.
- What does Premium unlock?
- Without an account you see the day's first pick with the full analysis, and with a free account three picks a day, for today and for a goal in the game. Premium means every game of the day with five players from each team, a point in the game, a window of 10, 20 or 30 games and the market's prices on the player's goal with the market's percentage next to ours. All in one Premium together with football and basketball.