Where does the goals projection come from?

From both teams' recent games: the goals the home side scores are averaged with the goals the visitors concede, and the other way round. The home side counts its home games and the visitors their away games, when there are at least four of them. You choose how many games are analysed with a filter.

Is overtime included?

By default we count 60 minutes, because that is the line most bookmakers price. The “Incl. OT” option covers the whole game with overtime and the shootout winner's goal, as the line with overtime is settled. Periods are counted without overtime.

The line of the sharp bookmaker who sets the market or, when there isn't one, the median of all bookmakers' lines. In Premium you also see the range of the whole market, the opening line and its movement.

What does Premium unlock?

Without an account you see the day's first pick with the full analysis, and with a free account three picks a day in every module, for today and for 60 minutes. Premium means all games on every day, the game with overtime and the periods, H2H mode, up to 30 games of history, filters and the full analysis of every line. All in one Premium together with football and basketball.

Goals Over/Under

Hockey

Where our goals forecast is furthest from the bookmakers' line.

Direction

Premium filters:

What the Goals Over/Under module shows

For every hockey game of the day we calculate a goals projection from both teams' recent games: how many goals each team scores and concedes, the home side at home and the visitors on the road. Next to it are the bookmakers' line and the share of both teams' games that finished over or under that line.

The list starts with the game whose projection is furthest from the line, towards the Over or the Under. Every game has a pick from a ladder of lines one goal apart around the bookmakers' line, with how often recent games hit each of them. The analysis works for 60 minutes, the game with overtime and every period.

How to read a goals projection

Only a few goals are scored in a hockey game, so even half a goal between the projection and the line matters. An average alone is not enough, though: if both teams' results swing a lot, the pick lands less often than the average suggests. That is why every pick shows the share of games on its side of the line and the history game by game.

Compare the percentage with the odds. Odds of 1.90 mean about 53% in the bookmaker's pricing; if both teams' recent games ended on the pick's side in 65% of cases, that difference is worth a look. A projection is a signal, not a certainty: one empty-net goal can decide the line.

What moves the number of goals

Goalies, the power play, the penalty kill and the pace of the game decide how many goals are scored. Late in a close game the trailing team pulls its goalie, so an empty-net goal often comes at the end.

What the line covers matters too. European bookmakers mostly price 60 minutes, while in North America the line includes overtime and the shootout, whose winner gets one goal added to the score. That is why we count 60 minutes and the game with overtime separately, and each period only from its own goals.

Frequently asked questions

Where does the goals projection come from?: From both teams' recent games: the goals the home side scores are averaged with the goals the visitors concede, and the other way round. The home side counts its home games and the visitors their away games, when there are at least four of them. You choose how many games are analysed with a filter.
Is overtime included?: By default we count 60 minutes, because that is the line most bookmakers price. The “Incl. OT” option covers the whole game with overtime and the shootout winner's goal, as the line with overtime is settled. Periods are counted without overtime.
Which line is shown?: The line of the sharp bookmaker who sets the market or, when there isn't one, the median of all bookmakers' lines. In Premium you also see the range of the whole market, the opening line and its movement.
What does Premium unlock?: Without an account you see the day's first pick with the full analysis, and with a free account three picks a day in every module, for today and for 60 minutes. Premium means all games on every day, the game with overtime and the periods, H2H mode, up to 30 games of history, filters and the full analysis of every line. All in one Premium together with football and basketball.