LogoPredictStats

Tips from September 11, 2026

Picks recorded on September 11, 2026: tips of the day, bankers and gems from odds movement, recorded as they appeared — each with the odds as recorded and the result.

Tips of the day, with odds

Three picks a day from odds movement: events a licensed bookmaker prices at least 10% above Pinnacle's fair odds, at odds 1.50–2.50, for a match kicking off within the next 8 hours. Slots open at 08:00, 12:00 and 15:00 (Warsaw) — each takes the highest edge on the board at that moment, recorded with the price and the minute — and we settle each at the recorded odds after the match. Every pick carries a second opinion: our statistical model's probability.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (09:02 AM–03:00 PM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Malaysia · Super League

Johor Darul Takzim FCNegeri Sembilan

Negeri Sembilan (+4.0) Asian handicap
at betsport
Odds at 09:02 AM
2.21
Fair (Pinnacle)
52%
implied
45%
Value
+14.7%

Pinnacle prices this event at 1.93 with the margin removed (≈52%); betsport offers 2.21 — a +14.7% edge over the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 09:02 AM, 6 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. Pinnacle stake limit at the time: €100.

Won· 3:0Match stats: form, H2H, goals

Want live prices and today's opportunities? Try Moneyflow for free

#2Norway · Toppserien

Bodø / Glimt WFortuna Ålesund W

Bodø / Glimt W (+3.0) Asian handicap
at admiralbet
Odds at 12:00 PM
1.97
Fair (Pinnacle)
58%
implied
51%
Value
+13.3%

Pinnacle prices this event at 1.74 with the margin removed (≈58%); admiralbet offers 1.97 — a +13.3% edge over the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 12:00 PM, 7 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. Pinnacle stake limit at the time: €150.

Won· 0:2Match stats: form, H2H, goals

Want live prices and today's opportunities? Try Moneyflow for free

#3Lithuania · 1 Lyga

Transinvest 2Hegelmann II

Over 3.0 goals
at betsport
Odds at 03:00 PM
1.80
Fair (Pinnacle)
61%
implied
56%
Value
+10.4%

Pinnacle prices this event at 1.63 with the margin removed (≈61%); betsport offers 1.80 — a +10.4% edge over the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:00 PM, 2 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. Pinnacle stake limit at the time: €200.

Won· 4:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

Want live prices and today's opportunities? Try Moneyflow for free

Day's balance: +2.98 u (3 won · 0 lost)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

9 won · 3 lost · 2 void · 1 pending · under 20 graded — too few to judge
Hit rate
75%
Yield
+56.3%
Profit (1-unit stakes)
+6.75 u
tips
9 / 3 / 2

These are three of dozens of signals a day, at a price from hours ago. The Moneyflow module shows all of them live — from 3% edge, with the sharp limit, price movement and a Telegram alert — while the price is still there.

Open Moneyflow

Today's bankers

Three favourites a day the bookmaker underrates: Pinnacle gives the event at least 70%, and a licensed bookmaker pays at least 5% more than the fair price, at odds 1.15–1.70. A high hit rate by design and an edge in the price — both show in the record. Every pick carries our statistical model's second opinion.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (05:02 AM–09:44 AM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Hungary · Magyar Kupa

SopronSzegedi VSE

Sopron — draw no bet
at fortuna
Odds at 05:02 AM
1.41
Fair (Pinnacle)
78%
implied
71%
Value
+10.5%

Pinnacle prices this event at 1.28 with the margin removed (≈78%); fortuna offers 1.41 — a +10.5% edge over the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 05:02 AM, 12 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since.

Won· 6:3Match stats: form, H2H, goals

Want live prices and today's opportunities? Try Moneyflow for free

#2Germany · 3. Liga

FC Viktoria KölnHansa Rostock

Under 4.5 goals
at fortuna
Odds at 05:16 AM
1.39
Fair (Pinnacle)
76%
Model
62%
implied
72%
Value
+5.3%

Pinnacle prices this event at 1.32 with the margin removed (≈76%); fortuna offers 1.39 — a +5.3% edge over the sharpest price on the market.

Second opinion — our statistical model: 62% (the price implies 72%); the model is more cautious here than Pinnacle. The event occurred in 17 of the home side's last 25 matches and in 14 of the away side's last 25.

Recorded at 05:16 AM, 13.7 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. Pinnacle stake limit at the time: €300.

Won· 4:0Match stats: form, H2H, goals

Want live prices and today's opportunities? Try Moneyflow for free

#3Australia · South Australia State League 1

Adelaide RaidersModbury Jets

Modbury Jets (+0.75) Asian handicap
at lvbet
Odds at 09:44 AM
1.50
Fair (Pinnacle)
70%
implied
67%
Value
+5.4%

Pinnacle prices this event at 1.42 with the margin removed (≈70%); lvbet offers 1.50 — a +5.4% edge over the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 09:44 AM, 23.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. Pinnacle stake limit at the time: €125.

Lost· 4:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

Want live prices and today's opportunities? Try Moneyflow for free

Day's balance: -0.20 u (2 won · 1 lost)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

12 won · 4 lost · 1 void · 3 pending · under 20 graded — too few to judge
Hit rate
75%
Yield
+0.8%
Profit (1-unit stakes)
+0.13 u
tips
12 / 4 / 1

Moneyflow gems — value from odds movement

A sample of the Moneyflow module: up to three picks a day where a soft bookmaker prices an event at least 20% above Pinnacle's fair odds, at odds up to 2.00. Odds and time as of recording — the price may have dropped since.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (08:12 AM–11:02 PM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Belgium · Reserve Pro League

K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21RAAL La Louviere U21

K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21: over 1.5 goals
at superbet
Odds at 08:12 AM
2.00
Fair (Pinnacle)
60%
implied
50%
Value
+20.3%

Pinnacle prices this event at 1.66 with the margin removed (≈60%); superbet offers 2.00 — a +20.3% edge over the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 08:12 AM, 11.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since.

Won· 4:0Match stats: form, H2H, goals

Want live prices and today's opportunities? Try Moneyflow for free

#2Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie B

Slavoj VyšehradOstrov

Slavoj Vyšehrad — draw no bet
at forbet
Odds at 10:32 PM
1.88
Fair (Pinnacle)
65%
implied
53%
Value
+21.4%

Pinnacle prices this event at 1.55 with the margin removed (≈65%); forbet offers 1.88 — a +21.4% edge over the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 10:32 PM, 11.7 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. Pinnacle stake limit at the time: €125.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

Want live prices and today's opportunities? Try Moneyflow for free

#3England · Non League Premier - Southern Central

Racing Club WarwickAnstey Nomads

Over 3.5 goals
at lvbet
Odds at 11:02 PM
2.00
Fair (Pinnacle)
61%
Model
22%
implied
50%
Value
+21%

Pinnacle prices this event at 1.63 with the margin removed (≈61%); lvbet offers 2.00 — a +21% edge over the sharpest price on the market.

Second opinion — our statistical model: 22% (the price implies 50%); the model is more cautious here than Pinnacle. The event occurred in 4 of the home side's last 25 matches and in 7 of the away side's last 25.

Recorded at 11:02 PM, 17 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. Pinnacle stake limit at the time: €125.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

Want live prices and today's opportunities? Try Moneyflow for free

Day's balance: +1.00 u (1 won · 0 lost · 2 pending)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

7 won · 2 lost · 1 void · 5 pending · under 20 graded — too few to judge
Hit rate
77.8%
Yield
+43.3%
Profit (1-unit stakes)
+3.90 u
tips
7 / 2 / 1

We use cookies for analytics and ads. By continuing, you agree to our Cookie Policy.