Fixtures for November 4, 2026 · from odds movement and team statistics, odds as recorded
Last board scan at 03:10 PM CET: 211 bookmaker lines, 0 in this list's band (10%+ over the sharp bookmaker, odds 1.50–2.50), 0 newly recorded. The engine tracks odds in real time; this free list reads the board every 2 minutes.
Three picks a day from odds movement: events that a Polish bookmaker prices at least 10% above the sharp bookmaker's fair odds, at odds of 1.50–2.50, for a match within the next 8 hours. Slots open at 8:00, 12:00 and 15:00. Each takes the signal with the highest deviation on the board at that moment, recorded with the odds and the minute, and after the match we settle at the recorded odds. Every pick comes with a second opinion: how often the event happens according to our statistical model.
2 picks recorded as they appeared (10:42 AM–12:40 PM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.
The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.82 with the margin removed (≈55%); the odds at the time of recording were 2.18, a deviation of +20%.
Recorded at 10:42 AM, 4.8 h before the match. Odds from that moment (they may have changed since).
Live odds are in the MoneyFlow module. Try MoneyFlow for free
The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.75 with the margin removed (≈57%); the odds at the time of recording were 2.02, a deviation of +15.5%.
Recorded at 12:40 PM, 2.8 h before the match. Odds from that moment (they may have changed since). The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €200.
Live odds are in the MoneyFlow module. Try MoneyFlow for free
These are three of dozens of signals a day, at a price from hours ago. The MoneyFlow module shows all of them live, from 3% deviation, with the sharp limit, price movement and a Telegram alert.
Open MoneyFlowThree favourites a day the bookmaker underrates: The sharp bookmaker gives the event at least 70%, and a licensed bookmaker pays at least 5% more than the fair price, at odds 1.15–1.70. A high hit rate by design and a deviation in the price: both show in the record. Every pick carries our statistical model's second opinion.
3 picks recorded as they appeared (01:04 AM–02:32 AM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.
The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.29 with the margin removed (≈78%); the odds at the time of recording were 1.36, a deviation of +5.8%.
Recorded at 02:02 AM, 12 h before the match. Odds from that moment (they may have changed since). The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €100.
Live odds are in the MoneyFlow module. Try MoneyFlow for free
The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.29 with the margin removed (≈78%); the odds at the time of recording were 1.37, a deviation of +6.2%.
Recorded at 02:32 AM, 12 h before the match. Odds from that moment (they may have changed since).
Live odds are in the MoneyFlow module. Try MoneyFlow for free
The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.41 with the margin removed (≈71%); the odds at the time of recording were 1.52, a deviation of +6%.
Recorded at 01:04 AM, 11.9 h before the match. Odds from that moment (they may have changed since). The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €100.
Live odds are in the MoneyFlow module. Try MoneyFlow for free
One day is too small a sample to judge a list by. Look at the record over the whole window and the archive day by day.
Favourites are a slice of the same board: in the MoneyFlow module you set your own odds and deviation range and see all the day's signals live, not three from hours ago.
Open MoneyFlowFull picks in the modules: 3 a day in each, free
Free account, no card: corners, cards, HT/FT breaks, goals and value bets, 3 picks a day each with full analysis.
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The first open pick of each market. The strongest picks, the rest of the list and the 30-day record are on the market's page.
Every free list on this page is a sample from one engine (MoneyFlow) with a second opinion from the statistical model on each pick. Each engine has a public record and its own product, where you get the whole thing instead of a sample.
The engine compares Polish bookmakers' odds with the sharp bookmaker's fair odds in real time and shows where a bookmaker is too slow or too generous. All the free lists come from here: tips of the day (10%+ at 1.50–2.50), favourites (5%+ on favourites) and gems (20%+), three a day each, at the odds from the moment of recording. In the module you see all signals from 3% up, with the sharp limit, the odds movement and Telegram alerts.
139 settled · yield +13.8% · +16.09 u
The model counts how often an event occurred in both teams' last 25 matches and their H2H, and compares that with the price. On the free lists it is the second opinion on every MoneyFlow pick: two independent sources next to the bookmaker's price. In the Value Bets module you see its full list: dozens to a hundred-plus signals a day across 30+ markets.
A second opinion on every pick, without a record of its own: it is a statistic of the event, not a betting strategy. Everyone plays it differently.
The hand-kept ledger of the PredictStats team's own tips: every tip published before the match with its odds, settled at those odds, since September 2025. The only one of the three engines with a human behind the selection, and the only history that cannot be recomputed backwards, because it was published as it went.
648 settled · yield +23.3% · +537.49 u
Every pick on this page is graded against the real result the next day. This is the last 30 days for the markets that can be settled against a clear line:
A hit rate is not profit. A cards pick at the 4.5 line comes in more often than an HT/FT break, but its odds are also much lower. That is why, next to the free picks, we keep the Insider record, where what counts is yield, meaning profit divided by total stakes, at the odds from the moment of publication:
Every pick on this page gets a result after the match. Separately, we keep an open record of Insider tips, with the odds, stake and result, updated since September 2025.
As of November 4, 2026.
See the full recordThere is no tipster, editorial team or tournament here. The day's list is built from the MoneyFlow board: we save a tip the moment a Polish bookmaker's odds stray from the sharp odds, three a day at most, and the statistical model is a second opinion on every tip. Tips for the statistical markets are generated automatically: the models go through all of today's matches in our database and choose the ones where the numbers from recent matches deviate most from the average. We count cards and corners as the average of each team's last 30 matches, BTTS from the share of matches in which both teams scored, and HT/FT breaks from head-to-head history.
On this page we show picks from the middle of the ranking. The ones the model rates highest stay in the modules for Premium. It is a fair arrangement: you can check how we count and the results for free before you decide whether to pay for the full list. Premium
The list refreshes every 10 minutes and covers only matches played today. Kick-off times are Central European Time.
A popular match carries hundreds of markets at a bookmaker. Picking the winner is the simplest bet and rarely the best priced – statistical markets are where bookmakers make more mistakes, because fewer people bet them. These are the markets we run dedicated tools for:
Home win, draw, away win. Instead of guessing who will win, we compare the odds with history: if in similar matches the result came in 58% of cases and odds of 2.47 price it at 40%, that is a value bet. Today's value bets are in the Value Bets module. Today's value bets
Over or under 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 goals. We base the goals models on average goals scored and conceded, form and head-to-head history. The historical percentages for each of today's matches are in the Goals module and on the match pages. Goals module
The only question is whether both sides find the net. Today's BTTS picks come from pairs in which both teams scored in a high share of recent matches, and every pick's grading is public. BTTS tips for today
A team leads at the break and loses the match (HT/FT 1/2 or 2/1). Bookmakers price it like a correct score, so odds are high and hits are rare. We choose today's HT/FT breaks from pairs in which the half-time leader has lost many times. HT/FT tips for today
Over/under lines of 3.5, 4.5 or 5.5 cards. We build today's card picks from both teams' average cards over the last 30 matches and the share of matches over 4.5. Check the referee too, because the referee's influence can be bigger than the teams'. Cards tips for today
Lines around 8.5–10.5 corners per match. Today's corners picks are pairs of teams that consistently play wide and cross: average corners over the last 30 matches and the share of matches over 9.5. Corner tips for today
An accumulator multiplies the odds, but it also multiplies pricing errors. We build our example AKO coupons for today only from events with a positive value deviation, and we state how often the whole coupon came in historically, not just the combined odds. Accumulators
The percentage next to a match is the historical frequency for that one event, not the site's hit rate. A pick of “over 1.5 goals: 80%” means that in comparable matches the event happened in about four cases out of five, so one in five such picks will lose. That is normal, not a model error.
The percentage alone is not a decision. Compare it with the price: odds of 1.20 carry 83% in the price, so an "80%" pick at that price loses over time even though it lands often. A "55%" pick at 2.10 (48% in the price) is the better bet even though it loses more often. That is what value means – and what our value bets and accas are built on.
No. A “banker” is a marketing name for an event that comes in often, and what comes in often is priced by the bookmaker with short odds. Services and groups that promise daily tips with “100% accuracy” don't publish the full history of their picks. If they did, the promise wouldn't last a week.
Our answer to bankers is calibration: we check whether picks labelled 70% really come in about 70% of the time, and we publish the grading of every market. In Stats & Tips you'll see the historical frequency next to the odds for every match of the day. Stats & tips for today
Everything on this page is free and needs no account: the daily tips, the numbers behind them and their grading. Premium unlocks the full lists in the modules, the whole H2H history and the filters. Not “better tips”, just more of the same data.
Separately we run Insider: tips sent to subscribers before kick-off, with odds and stake, settled after the match in an open ledger. It is the only performance claim we make and it can be checked tip by tip. Insider tips ledger
The daily tips are chosen by a model from statistics. MoneyFlow works differently: it compares Polish bookmakers' odds with the sharp odds and shows the matches where the difference (the deviation) passes a set threshold. It is a tool, not a list of tips, and it takes a moment to learn: what 8% deviation means, how to factor in the 12% tax, when a boosted AKO pays off better than a single.
All of it is written up step by step, with faithful copies of the tool's screens and a deviation calculator:
Tomorrow's tips don't appear here in advance, because line-ups, injuries and the weather change until the last hours before a match, and our 30-match averages are the same today and tomorrow. Publishing earlier would add nothing, and the risk of a stale pick is real. A new list of the day's tips appears every day after midnight.
Tomorrow's fixtures with statistics, H2H and the model's historical frequencies are available right away in the fixtures list – just switch the date. Fixtures and match statistics
Value bets set the odds against how often the pick came in over the teams' recent matches: goals, BTTS, corners, cards and 1X2. The day's first pick without an account, three with a free one.
