Tips from September 13, 2026

Picks recorded on September 13, 2026: tips of the day, bankers and gems from odds movement, recorded as they appeared — each with the odds as recorded and the result.

Tips of the day, with odds

Three picks a day from odds movement: events a licensed bookmaker prices at least 10% above the sharp bookmaker's fair odds, at odds 1.50–2.50, for a match kicking off within the next 8 hours. Slots open at 08:00, 12:00 and 15:00 (Warsaw) — each takes the highest deviation on the board at that moment, recorded with the price and the minute — and we settle each at the recorded odds after the match. Every pick carries a second opinion: our statistical model's probability.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (08:00 AM–03:02 PM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Indonesia · Liga 202:00 PM

PSBS Biak NumforDeltras

Deltras: over 2.5 goals

at fuksiarz

Odds at 08:00 AM

2.25

Fair (sharp): 54%
implied: 44%
Value: +20.8%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.86 with the margin removed (≈54%); fuksiarz offers 2.25 — a +20.8% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 08:00 AM, 6 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since.

Won· 0:5Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Kazakhstan · Premier League01:00 PM

IrtyshOkzhetpes

Okzhetpes — draw no bet

at fuksiarz

Odds at 12:08 PM

2.40

Fair (sharp): 46%
implied: 42%
Value: +14.8%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 2.17 with the margin removed (≈46%); fuksiarz offers 2.40 — a +14.8% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 12:08 PM, 0.9 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €300.

Lost· 2:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#3Macedonia · Second League04:00 PM

OhridGorno Lisiče

Ohrid (-1.5) Asian handicap

at etoto

Odds at 03:02 PM

1.76

Fair (sharp): 63%
implied: 57%
Value: +11.2%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.58 with the margin removed (≈63%); etoto offers 1.76 — a +11.2% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:02 PM, 1 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €100.

Lost· 2:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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Day's balance: -0.75 u (1 won · 2 lost)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

19 won · 15 lost · 4 void

Hit rate: 55.9%
Yield: +21.9%
Profit (1-unit stakes): +7.45 u
tips: 19 / 15 / 4

These are three of dozens of signals a day, at a price from hours ago. The Moneyflow module shows all of them live — from 3% deviation, with the sharp limit, price movement and a Telegram alert — while the price is still there.

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Today's bankers

Three favourites a day the bookmaker underrates: The sharp bookmaker gives the event at least 70%, and a licensed bookmaker pays at least 5% more than the fair price, at odds 1.15–1.70. A high hit rate by design and a deviation in the price — both show in the record. Every pick carries our statistical model's second opinion.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (12:12 AM–03:20 AM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Portugal · Júniores U1912:00 PM

Sporting CP U19Alverca U19

Sporting CP U19 (-1.0) Asian handicap

at lvbet

Odds at 12:12 AM

1.47

Fair (sharp): 73%
implied: 68%
Value: +6.6%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.38 with the margin removed (≈73%); lvbet offers 1.47 — a +6.6% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 12:12 AM, 11.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Won· 3:0Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Poland · III Liga - Group 312:00 PM

Rakow IISparta Katowice

Sparta Katowice — draw no bet

at superbet

Odds at 12:14 AM

1.60

Fair (sharp): 71%
implied: 63%
Value: +14%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.40 with the margin removed (≈71%); superbet offers 1.60 — a +14% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 12:14 AM, 11.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Void· 1:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#3Italy · Serie D - Girone E03:00 PM

GrassinaFlaminia

Flaminia — draw no bet

at lebull

Odds at 03:20 AM

1.51

Fair (sharp): 72%
implied: 66%
Value: +9.1%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.38 with the margin removed (≈72%); lebull offers 1.51 — a +9.1% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:20 AM, 11.7 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Won· 0:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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Day's balance: +0.98 u (2 won · 0 lost · 1 void)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

24 won · 12 lost · 4 void · 1 pending

Hit rate: 66.7%
Yield: -6.7%
Profit (1-unit stakes): -2.42 u
tips: 24 / 12 / 4

Moneyflow gems — value from odds movement

A sample of the Moneyflow module: up to three picks a day where a soft bookmaker prices an event at least 20% above the sharp bookmaker's fair odds, at odds up to 2.00. Odds and time as of recording — the price may have dropped since.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (01:16 AM–03:30 AM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1812:00 PM

Huracán BalazoteMarchamalo

Marchamalo — draw no bet

at etoto

Odds at 01:16 AM

1.96

Fair (sharp): 63%
implied: 51%
Value: +22.5%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.60 with the margin removed (≈63%); etoto offers 1.96 — a +22.5% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 01:16 AM, 10.7 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €175.

Won· 0:2Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Cambodia · C-League01:00 PM

NagaWorldLife Sihanoukville

Life Sihanoukville (+1.5) Asian handicap

at sts

Odds at 01:20 AM

1.98

Fair (sharp): 62%
implied: 51%
Value: +21.6%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.61 with the margin removed (≈62%); sts offers 1.98 — a +21.6% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 01:20 AM, 11.7 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Won· 1:0Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#3Italy · Serie D - Girone A03:00 PM

DerthonaImperia

Imperia — draw no bet

at superbet

Odds at 03:30 AM

1.85

Fair (sharp): 66%
implied: 54%
Value: +21.8%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.52 with the margin removed (≈66%); superbet offers 1.85 — a +21.8% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:30 AM, 11.5 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Void· 1:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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Day's balance: +1.94 u (2 won · 0 lost · 1 void)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

16 won · 13 lost · 3 void

Hit rate: 55.2%
Yield: +4.9%
Profit (1-unit stakes): +1.41 u
tips: 16 / 13 / 3