Tips from September 19, 2026

Picks recorded on September 19, 2026: tips of the day, bankers and gems from odds movement, recorded as they appeared — each with the odds as recorded and the result.

Tips of the day, with odds

Three picks a day from odds movement: events a licensed bookmaker prices at least 10% above the sharp bookmaker's fair odds, at odds 1.50–2.50, for a match kicking off within the next 8 hours. Slots open at 08:00, 12:00 and 15:00 (Warsaw) — each takes the highest deviation on the board at that moment, recorded with the price and the minute — and we settle each at the recorded odds after the match. Every pick carries a second opinion: our statistical model's probability.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (08:00 AM–03:02 PM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Denmark · Kvindeliga01:00 PM

Køge WMidtjylland W

Midtjylland W: over 0.5 goals

at admiralbet

Odds at 08:00 AM

2.03

Fair (sharp): 56%
implied: 49%
Value: +12.9%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.80 with the margin removed (≈56%); admiralbet offers 2.03 — a +12.9% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 08:00 AM, 5 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since.

Lost· 4:0Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Norway · 3. Division - Girone 204:00 PM

ByåsenHerd

Byåsen (-2.0) Asian handicap

at fortuna

Odds at 12:06 PM

2.44

Fair (sharp): 46%
implied: 41%
Value: +12.9%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 2.16 with the margin removed (≈46%); fortuna offers 2.44 — a +12.9% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 12:06 PM, 3.9 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €200.

Won· 6:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#3Slovenia · 2. SNL04:30 PM

Dren VrhnikaPrimorje

Over 3.0 goals

at lvbet

Odds at 03:02 PM

2.50

Fair (sharp): 47%
implied: 40%
Value: +16.9%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 2.14 with the margin removed (≈47%); lvbet offers 2.50 — a +16.9% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:02 PM, 1.5 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €200.

Void· 2:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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Day's balance: +0.44 u (1 won · 1 lost · 1 void)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

19 won · 15 lost · 4 void

Hit rate: 55.9%
Yield: +21.9%
Profit (1-unit stakes): +7.45 u
tips: 19 / 15 / 4

These are three of dozens of signals a day, at a price from hours ago. The Moneyflow module shows all of them live — from 3% deviation, with the sharp limit, price movement and a Telegram alert — while the price is still there.

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Today's bankers

Three favourites a day the bookmaker underrates: The sharp bookmaker gives the event at least 70%, and a licensed bookmaker pays at least 5% more than the fair price, at odds 1.15–1.70. A high hit rate by design and a deviation in the price — both show in the record. Every pick carries our statistical model's second opinion.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (01:38 AM–03:14 AM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Netherlands · U21 Divisie 112:15 PM

Feyenoord U21PEC Zwolle U21

Feyenoord U21 — draw no bet

at superbet

Odds at 01:38 AM

1.48

Fair (sharp): 72%
implied: 68%
Value: +6.5%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.39 with the margin removed (≈72%); superbet offers 1.48 — a +6.5% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 01:38 AM, 10.6 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Sweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland02:00 PM

TornsRäppe

Torns — draw no bet

at etoto

Odds at 02:14 AM

1.50

Fair (sharp): 70%
implied: 67%
Value: +5.2%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.43 with the margin removed (≈70%); etoto offers 1.50 — a +5.2% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 02:14 AM, 11.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Lost· 1:2Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#3Poland · III Liga - Group 103:00 PM

WeszloOlimpia Elbląg

Olimpia Elbląg (+2.0) Asian handicap

at sts

Odds at 03:14 AM

1.50

Fair (sharp): 70%
implied: 67%
Value: +5%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.43 with the margin removed (≈70%); sts offers 1.50 — a +5% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:14 AM, 11.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Won· 2:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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Day's balance: -0.50 u (1 won · 1 lost · 1 pending)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

24 won · 12 lost · 4 void · 1 pending

Hit rate: 66.7%
Yield: -6.7%
Profit (1-unit stakes): -2.42 u
tips: 24 / 12 / 4

Moneyflow gems — value from odds movement

A sample of the Moneyflow module: up to three picks a day where a soft bookmaker prices an event at least 20% above the sharp bookmaker's fair odds, at odds up to 2.00. Odds and time as of recording — the price may have dropped since.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (04:12 AM–10:30 AM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Latvia · Virsliga03:00 PM

FS JelgavaRiga

Riga (-1.5) Asian handicap

at betfan

Odds at 04:12 AM

2.00

Fair (sharp): 60%
implied: 50%
Value: +20.2%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.67 with the margin removed (≈60%); betfan offers 2.00 — a +20.2% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 04:12 AM, 10.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €450.

Lost· 0:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie E03:30 PM

Nové SadyProstejov B

Away win

at fortuna

Odds at 04:44 AM

1.91

Fair (sharp): 68%
implied: 52%
Value: +29.7%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.47 with the margin removed (≈68%); fortuna offers 1.91 — a +29.7% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 04:44 AM, 10.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Lost· 1:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#3Algeria · Ligue 205:00 PM

MostaganemBlida

Mostaganem — draw no bet

at fortuna

Odds at 10:30 AM

1.78

Fair (sharp): 69%
implied: 56%
Value: +23.2%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.45 with the margin removed (≈69%); fortuna offers 1.78 — a +23.2% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 10:30 AM, 6.5 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Lost· 1:2Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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Day's balance: -3.00 u (0 won · 3 lost)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

16 won · 13 lost · 3 void

Hit rate: 55.2%
Yield: +4.9%
Profit (1-unit stakes): +1.41 u
tips: 16 / 13 / 3