Tips from September 27, 2026

Picks recorded on September 27, 2026: tips of the day, bankers and gems from odds movement, recorded as they appeared — each with the odds as recorded and the result.

Tips of the day, with odds

Three picks a day from odds movement: events a licensed bookmaker prices at least 10% above the sharp bookmaker's fair odds, at odds 1.50–2.50, for a match kicking off within the next 8 hours. Slots open at 08:00, 12:00 and 15:00 (Warsaw) — each takes the highest deviation on the board at that moment, recorded with the price and the minute — and we settle each at the recorded odds after the match. Every pick carries a second opinion: our statistical model's probability.

One pick, recorded at 08:14 AM. Odds as of recording, result after the match.

#1Italy · Serie D - Girone D03:00 PM

PaviaArconatese

Pavia (-0.5) Asian handicap

at admiralbet

Odds at 08:14 AM

1.99

Fair (sharp): 56%
implied: 50%
Value: +11.4%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.79 with the margin removed (≈56%); admiralbet offers 1.99 — a +11.4% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 08:14 AM, 6.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

23 won · 29 lost · 7 void · 1 pending

Hit rate: 44.2%
Yield: -2.2%
Profit (1-unit stakes): -1.12 u
tips: 23 / 29 / 7

These are three of dozens of signals a day, at a price from hours ago. The Moneyflow module shows all of them live — from 3% deviation, with the sharp limit, price movement and a Telegram alert — while the price is still there.

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Today's bankers

Three favourites a day the bookmaker underrates: The sharp bookmaker gives the event at least 70%, and a licensed bookmaker pays at least 5% more than the fair price, at odds 1.15–1.70. A high hit rate by design and a deviation in the price — both show in the record. Every pick carries our statistical model's second opinion.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (02:14 AM–03:16 AM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand02:00 PM

BollstanäsEnskede

Enskede — draw no bet

at sts

Odds at 02:14 AM

1.50

Fair (sharp): 74%
implied: 67%
Value: +11.6%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.34 with the margin removed (≈74%); sts offers 1.50 — a +11.6% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 02:14 AM, 11.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Italy · Serie D - Girone C03:00 PM

FC ObermaisMestre

Mestre — draw no bet

at betsport

Odds at 03:16 AM

1.53

Fair (sharp): 71%
implied: 65%
Value: +9.3%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.40 with the margin removed (≈71%); betsport offers 1.53 — a +9.3% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:16 AM, 11.7 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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#3Italy · Serie D - Girone E03:00 PM

SeravezzaTerranuova Traiana

Seravezza — draw no bet

at etoto

Odds at 03:16 AM

1.45

Fair (sharp): 76%
implied: 69%
Value: +10.6%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.31 with the margin removed (≈76%); etoto offers 1.45 — a +10.6% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:16 AM, 11.7 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

38 won · 14 lost · 7 void · 3 pending

Hit rate: 73.1%
Yield: +4%
Profit (1-unit stakes): +2.09 u
tips: 38 / 14 / 7

Moneyflow gems — value from odds movement

A sample of the Moneyflow module: up to three picks a day where a soft bookmaker prices an event at least 20% above the sharp bookmaker's fair odds, at odds up to 2.00. Odds and time as of recording — the price may have dropped since.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (03:16 AM–03:44 AM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Italy · Serie D - Girone F03:00 PM

Real GiulianovaAtletico Ascoli

Atletico Ascoli — draw no bet

at betters

Odds at 03:16 AM

1.89

Fair (sharp): 63%
implied: 53%
Value: +20%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.58 with the margin removed (≈63%); betters offers 1.89 — a +20% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:16 AM, 11.7 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Italy · Serie D - Girone C03:00 PM

AltavillaVirtus Bolzano

Altavilla — draw no bet

at totalbet

Odds at 03:16 AM

1.63

Fair (sharp): 75%
implied: 61%
Value: +21.6%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.34 with the margin removed (≈75%); totalbet offers 1.63 — a +21.6% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:16 AM, 11.7 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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#3Turkey · 2. Lig02:30 PM

Ankara DemirsporAdana 01 FK

Ankara Demirspor: under 1.5 goals

at betfan

Odds at 03:44 AM

1.97

Fair (sharp): 62%
implied: 51%
Value: +21.8%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.62 with the margin removed (≈62%); betfan offers 1.97 — a +21.8% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:44 AM, 10.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

Want live prices and today's opportunities? Try Moneyflow for free

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

24 won · 16 lost · 6 void · 4 pending

Hit rate: 60%
Yield: +14.3%
Profit (1-unit stakes): +5.72 u
tips: 24 / 16 / 6