Tips from September 20, 2026

Picks recorded on September 20, 2026: tips of the day, bankers and gems from odds movement, recorded as they appeared — each with the odds as recorded and the result.

Today's bankers

Three favourites a day the bookmaker underrates: The sharp bookmaker gives the event at least 70%, and a licensed bookmaker pays at least 5% more than the fair price, at odds 1.15–1.70. A high hit rate by design and a deviation in the price — both show in the record. Every pick carries our statistical model's second opinion.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (02:14 AM–03:14 AM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 212:00 PM

Sporting Gijón IILealtad

Sporting Gijón II — draw no bet

at sts

Odds at 02:14 AM

1.46

Fair (sharp): 73%
implied: 69%
Value: +6.8%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.37 with the margin removed (≈73%); sts offers 1.46 — a +6.8% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 02:14 AM, 9.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €175.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Indonesia · Liga 210:30 AM

DeltrasBarito Putera

Barito Putera — draw no bet

at fuksiarz

Odds at 02:22 AM

1.50

Fair (sharp): 70%
implied: 67%
Value: +5.1%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.43 with the margin removed (≈70%); fuksiarz offers 1.50 — a +5.1% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 02:22 AM, 8.1 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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#3Italy · Serie D - Girone A03:00 PM

Celle VarazzeLigorna

Ligorna — draw no bet

at totalbet

Odds at 03:14 AM

1.50

Fair (sharp): 74%
implied: 67%
Value: +11.3%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.35 with the margin removed (≈74%); totalbet offers 1.50 — a +11.3% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:14 AM, 11.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

24 won · 12 lost · 4 void · 4 pending

Hit rate: 66.7%
Yield: -6.7%
Profit (1-unit stakes): -2.42 u
tips: 24 / 12 / 4

Moneyflow gems — value from odds movement

A sample of the Moneyflow module: up to three picks a day where a soft bookmaker prices an event at least 20% above the sharp bookmaker's fair odds, at odds up to 2.00. Odds and time as of recording — the price may have dropped since.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (01:24 AM–02:18 AM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand01:00 PM

Viggbyholms IKHelges

Helges (+1.0) Asian handicap

at etoto

Odds at 01:24 AM

1.86

Fair (sharp): 66%
implied: 54%
Value: +22%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.53 with the margin removed (≈66%); etoto offers 1.86 — a +22% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 01:24 AM, 11.6 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Netherlands · Derde Divisie02:00 PM

HerculesTEC

TEC — draw no bet

at betfan

Odds at 02:14 AM

2.00

Fair (sharp): 60%
implied: 50%
Value: +20.3%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.66 with the margin removed (≈60%); betfan offers 2.00 — a +20.3% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 02:14 AM, 11.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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#3Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1112:00 PM

Ibiza Islas PitiusasSineu

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (-1.75) Asian handicap

at lvbet

Odds at 02:18 AM

1.95

Fair (sharp): 64%
implied: 51%
Value: +24.7%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.56 with the margin removed (≈64%); lvbet offers 1.95 — a +24.7% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 02:18 AM, 9.7 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €175.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

16 won · 13 lost · 3 void · 3 pending

Hit rate: 55.2%
Yield: +4.9%
Profit (1-unit stakes): +1.41 u
tips: 16 / 13 / 3