Tips from September 23, 2026

Picks recorded on September 23, 2026: tips of the day, bankers and gems from odds movement, recorded as they appeared — each with the odds as recorded and the result.

Tips of the day, with odds

Three picks a day from odds movement: events a licensed bookmaker prices at least 10% above the sharp bookmaker's fair odds, at odds 1.50–2.50, for a match kicking off within the next 8 hours. Slots open at 08:00, 12:00 and 15:00 (Warsaw) — each takes the highest deviation on the board at that moment, recorded with the price and the minute — and we settle each at the recorded odds after the match. Every pick carries a second opinion: our statistical model's probability.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (08:14 AM–03:00 PM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1World · UEFA Europa Cup - Women03:00 PM

PAOK WSpartak Myjava W

PAOK W (-1.0) Asian handicap

at admiralbet

Odds at 08:14 AM

2.28

Fair (sharp): 52%
implied: 44%
Value: +18.1%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.93 with the margin removed (≈52%); admiralbet offers 2.28 — a +18.1% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 08:14 AM, 6.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Lost· 2:3Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2World · Premier League International Cup08:00 PM

Middlesbrough U21Genk U21

Genk U21 — draw no bet

at sts

Odds at 12:02 PM

2.25

Fair (sharp): 50%
implied: 44%
Value: +11.6%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 2.02 with the margin removed (≈50%); sts offers 2.25 — a +11.6% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 12:02 PM, 8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €300.

Void· 1:1Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#3World · UEFA Champions League Women09:00 PM

Barcelona WParis FC W

Barcelona W (-4.0) Asian handicap

at admiralbet

Odds at 03:00 PM

2.23

Fair (sharp): 53%
implied: 45%
Value: +18.2%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.89 with the margin removed (≈53%); admiralbet offers 2.23 — a +18.2% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 03:00 PM, 6 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €175.

Lost· 5:2Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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Day's balance: -2.00 u (0 won · 2 lost · 1 void)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

21 won · 23 lost · 6 void · 3 pending

Hit rate: 47.7%
Yield: +4.6%
Profit (1-unit stakes): +2.04 u
tips: 21 / 23 / 6

These are three of dozens of signals a day, at a price from hours ago. The Moneyflow module shows all of them live — from 3% deviation, with the sharp limit, price movement and a Telegram alert — while the price is still there.

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Today's bankers

Three favourites a day the bookmaker underrates: The sharp bookmaker gives the event at least 70%, and a licensed bookmaker pays at least 5% more than the fair price, at odds 1.15–1.70. A high hit rate by design and a deviation in the price — both show in the record. Every pick carries our statistical model's second opinion.

2 picks recorded as they appeared (12:02 AM–10:44 AM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1World · UEFA Europa Cup - Women12:00 PM

Metalist 1925 WTorreense W

Metalist 1925 W (+2.0) Asian handicap

at sts

Odds at 12:02 AM

1.53

Fair (sharp): 71%
implied: 65%
Value: +8.7%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.41 with the margin removed (≈71%); sts offers 1.53 — a +8.7% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 12:02 AM, 12 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Won· 1:2Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Israel · Liga Leumit06:00 PM

Hapoel AcreHapoel Afula

Hapoel Afula — draw no bet

at bet3000

Odds at 10:44 AM

1.47

Fair (sharp): 72%
implied: 68%
Value: +5.1%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.40 with the margin removed (≈72%); bet3000 offers 1.47 — a +5.1% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 10:44 AM, 31.3 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €100.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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Day's balance: +0.53 u (1 won · 0 lost · 1 pending)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

30 won · 14 lost · 6 void · 2 pending

Hit rate: 68.2%
Yield: -3.7%
Profit (1-unit stakes): -1.62 u
tips: 30 / 14 / 6

Moneyflow gems — value from odds movement

A sample of the Moneyflow module: up to three picks a day where a soft bookmaker prices an event at least 20% above the sharp bookmaker's fair odds, at odds up to 2.00. Odds and time as of recording — the price may have dropped since.

One pick, recorded at 01:46 PM. Odds as of recording, result after the match.

#1Israel · Liga Alef07:15 PM

Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Sderot

Hapoel Sderot (+0.75) Asian handicap

at betsport

Odds at 01:46 PM

1.95

Fair (sharp): 63%
implied: 51%
Value: +26.8%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.58 with the margin removed (≈63%); betsport offers 1.95 — a +26.8% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 01:46 PM, 5.5 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Lost· 1:0Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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Day's balance: -1.00 u (0 won · 1 lost)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

20 won · 16 lost · 4 void · 1 pending

Hit rate: 55.6%
Yield: +5.7%
Profit (1-unit stakes): +2.04 u
tips: 20 / 16 / 4