Tips from September 24, 2026

Picks recorded on September 24, 2026: tips of the day, bankers and gems from odds movement, recorded as they appeared — each with the odds as recorded and the result.

Tips of the day, with odds

Three picks a day from odds movement: events a licensed bookmaker prices at least 10% above the sharp bookmaker's fair odds, at odds 1.50–2.50, for a match kicking off within the next 8 hours. Slots open at 08:00, 12:00 and 15:00 (Warsaw) — each takes the highest deviation on the board at that moment, recorded with the price and the minute — and we settle each at the recorded odds after the match. Every pick carries a second opinion: our statistical model's probability.

3 picks recorded as they appeared (09:18 AM–04:04 PM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Slovakia · 3. liga - Center03:30 PM

PodkoniceRužomberok II

Over 3.0 goals

at lvbet

Odds at 09:18 AM

2.47

Fair (sharp): 47%
implied: 41%
Value: +15.9%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 2.13 with the margin removed (≈47%); lvbet offers 2.47 — a +15.9% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 09:18 AM, 6.2 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Won· 4:4Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Israel · Liga Alef06:30 PM

Holon YermiyahuKfar Saba 1928

Away win

at merkurbets

Odds at 01:08 PM

2.30

Fair (sharp): 50%
implied: 44%
Value: +14%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 2.02 with the margin removed (≈50%); merkurbets offers 2.30 — a +14% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 01:08 PM, 5.4 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Lost· 1:0Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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#3Sweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland08:15 PM

KongahällaLindome

Over 4.0 goals

at betsport

Odds at 04:04 PM

2.37

Fair (sharp): 47%
implied: 42%
Value: +10.6%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 2.14 with the margin removed (≈47%); betsport offers 2.37 — a +10.6% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 04:04 PM, 4.2 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €125.

Won· 3:2Match stats: form, H2H, goals

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Day's balance: +1.84 u (2 won · 1 lost)

Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

23 won · 24 lost · 6 void · 3 pending

Hit rate: 48.9%
Yield: +8.3%
Profit (1-unit stakes): +3.88 u
tips: 23 / 24 / 6

These are three of dozens of signals a day, at a price from hours ago. The Moneyflow module shows all of them live — from 3% deviation, with the sharp limit, price movement and a Telegram alert — while the price is still there.

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Today's bankers

Three favourites a day the bookmaker underrates: The sharp bookmaker gives the event at least 70%, and a licensed bookmaker pays at least 5% more than the fair price, at odds 1.15–1.70. A high hit rate by design and a deviation in the price — both show in the record. Every pick carries our statistical model's second opinion.

2 picks recorded as they appeared (02:26 PM–10:42 PM). Odds as recorded, result after the match.

#1Finland · Ykkönen06:00 PM

Tampere UnitedJJK

Tampere United — draw no bet

at etoto

Odds at 02:26 PM

1.29

Fair (sharp): 84%
implied: 78%
Value: +7.8%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.20 with the margin removed (≈84%); etoto offers 1.29 — a +7.8% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 02:26 PM, 27.6 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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#2Brazil · Paraibano 212:30 AM

Santa RitaSerrano PB

Santa Rita — draw no bet

at betters

Odds at 10:42 PM

1.53

Fair (sharp): 71%
implied: 65%
Value: +8.1%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.42 with the margin removed (≈71%); betters offers 1.53 — a +8.1% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 10:42 PM, 1.8 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €100.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

31 won · 14 lost · 6 void · 5 pending

Hit rate: 68.9%
Yield: -2.6%
Profit (1-unit stakes): -1.15 u
tips: 31 / 14 / 6

Moneyflow gems — value from odds movement

A sample of the Moneyflow module: up to three picks a day where a soft bookmaker prices an event at least 20% above the sharp bookmaker's fair odds, at odds up to 2.00. Odds and time as of recording — the price may have dropped since.

One pick, recorded at 04:52 AM. Odds as of recording, result after the match.

#1World · U20 Elite League05:30 PM

Germany U20France U20

Germany U20 — draw no bet

at fuksiarz

Odds at 04:52 AM

2.00

Fair (sharp): 61%
implied: 50%
Value: +22.1%

The sharp bookmaker prices this event at 1.64 with the margin removed (≈61%); fuksiarz offers 2.00 — a +22.1% deviation from the sharpest price on the market.

Recorded at 04:52 AM, 36.6 h before kickoff. Odds as of that minute — they may have changed since. The sharp bookmaker stake limit at the time: €100.

PendingMatch stats: form, H2H, goals

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Record · last 90 days · since Sep 7

20 won · 16 lost · 4 void · 4 pending

Hit rate: 55.6%
Yield: +5.7%
Profit (1-unit stakes): +2.04 u
tips: 20 / 16 / 4